Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

equity · CN

Sanan Optoelectronics Co., Ltd. Class A backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Sanan Optoelectronics Co., Ltd. Class A. 2 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; EMA 크로스오버 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester. The return/drawdown alternative is 볼린저 밴드 돌파 (CAGR 8.6%, MDD -68.5%).

Data 1996-05-28 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 7,503 (30.2 years)Costs 0.5%Venue SSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

2 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 10.8%, drawdown -90.0%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): EMA 크로스오버 — CAGR 13.1%, MDD -75.3%, Sharpe 0.42, 49% exposure.

Return/drawdown alternative: 볼린저 밴드 돌파 — CAGR is 2.3%p higher than buy and hold, while drawdown improves by 14.7%p (CAGR 8.6%, MDD -68.5%, exposure 21%).

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
EMA 크로스오버
fast=58, slow=190
13.1%-75.3%0.420.1740.8x3149%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=6, slow=205
8.6%-75.6%0.410.1111.9x8449%
Supertrend
period=22, mult=1.8
11.2%-83.6%0.380.1324.8x38048%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=55, exitN=30
9.0%-76.2%0.340.1213.4x7640%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=14, threshold=15
8.3%-83.7%0.330.1011.0x47847%
ROC 모멘텀
n=24, threshold=-0.04
7.6%-90.5%0.330.089.1x54264%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=29, atrPeriod=24, mult=1.6
8.6%-70.6%0.330.1211.9x20633%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=58, k=3
8.6%-68.5%0.320.1312.2x4621%
MACD
fast=13, slow=44, signal=12
4.7%-83.9%0.310.064.0x42649%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.005, maxStep=0.22
6.5%-86.7%0.290.076.6x23450%
Buy and hold10.8%-90.0%0.400.1221.9x1100%
1x 10x 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025 EMA 크로스오버Buy and hold
EMA 크로스오버: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -22% -45% -67% -90% 1997 2001 2005 2009 2013 2017 2021 2025 Buy and holdEMA 크로스오버
EMA 크로스오버 maximum drawdown -75.3% (1997-05-08 → 2006-12-06), recovered after 4,079 days.

Rules of the top strategy

Uses two exponential averages (more weight on recent prices) and trades their crossover.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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