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Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

equity · CN

JCHX MINING MANAGEMENT CO LTD Class A backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of JCHX MINING MANAGEMENT CO LTD Class A. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; Donchian 채널 돌파 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester. The return/drawdown alternative is SMA 크로스오버 (CAGR 14.1%, MDD -39.7%).

Data 2015-06-30 ~ 2026-09-30daily bars 2,735 (11.3 years)Costs 0.5%Venue SSEMonthly snapshot 2026-09-30

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 14.4%, drawdown -73.9%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): Donchian 채널 돌파 — CAGR 12.9%, MDD -37.9%, Sharpe 0.59, 42% exposure.

CAGR reference leader: SMA 크로스오버 — CAGR 14.1%, MDD -39.7%, exposure 55%.

Return/drawdown alternative: SMA 크로스오버 — CAGR is 1.5%p lower than buy and hold, while drawdown improves by 35.9%p (CAGR 14.1%, MDD -39.7%, exposure 55%).

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=110, exitN=63
12.9%-37.9%0.590.343.9x842%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=23, slow=269
14.1%-39.7%0.580.354.4x1555%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=55, slow=158
12.5%-40.3%0.530.313.8x1552%
Supertrend
period=8, mult=3
6.8%-72.3%0.370.092.1x6156%
ROC 모멘텀
n=122, threshold=0.02
6.1%-52.2%0.350.121.9x11951%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=25, threshold=24
4.9%-35.0%0.340.141.7x2621%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.01, maxStep=0.04
2.8%-49.5%0.250.061.4x10654%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=54, atrPeriod=21, mult=3.7
2.9%-33.0%0.250.091.4x2220%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=47, k=1.1
0.3%-59.5%0.160.001.0x8444%
MACD
fast=18, slow=43, signal=16
-2.9%-59.6%0.06-0.050.7x13056%
Buy and hold14.4%-73.9%0.540.194.5x1100%
1x 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 SMA 크로스오버Donchian 채널 돌파Buy and hold
Donchian 채널 돌파 (Sharpe leader), SMA 크로스오버 (CAGR reference), Buy and hold.
0% -18% -37% -55% -74% 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Buy and holdSMA 크로스오버Donchian 채널 돌파
Donchian 채널 돌파 maximum drawdown -37.9% (2021-09-14 → 2022-11-28), recovered after 720 days.

Rules of the top strategy

A new high means a trend starting; a new low means it’s over (turtle-trading style).

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 120 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
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