Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

equity · CN

Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co Ltd Class A backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Hubei Feilihua Quartz Glass Co Ltd Class A. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; Parabolic SAR ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester. The return/drawdown alternative is Parabolic SAR (CAGR 26.9%, MDD -49.1%).

Data 2014-09-10 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 2,887 (11.9 years)Costs 0.5%Venue SZSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 27.4%, drawdown -65.9%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): Parabolic SAR — CAGR 26.9%, MDD -49.1%, Sharpe 0.81, 52% exposure.

Return/drawdown alternative: Parabolic SAR — CAGR is 0.4%p lower than buy and hold, while drawdown improves by 16.8%p (CAGR 26.9%, MDD -49.1%, exposure 52%).

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
Parabolic SAR
step=0.03, maxStep=0.06
26.9%-49.1%0.810.5517.1x18252%
MACD
fast=18, slow=52, signal=16
15.6%-61.4%0.570.255.6x12050%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=30, exitN=79
16.4%-74.0%0.570.226.1x1875%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=32, atrPeriod=21, mult=1.9
13.2%-54.9%0.550.244.4x5828%
Supertrend
period=29, mult=3.3
14.3%-53.3%0.550.274.9x6451%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=18, k=2.3
11.4%-51.3%0.510.223.6x8424%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=36, threshold=12
12.0%-55.8%0.490.213.8x7445%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=50, slow=132
11.1%-68.4%0.470.163.5x2358%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=49, slow=113
9.5%-72.8%0.430.132.9x2259%
ROC 모멘텀
n=11, threshold=-0.01
4.8%-75.0%0.320.061.7x36858%
Buy and hold27.4%-65.9%0.730.4217.7x1100%
1x 10x 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Parabolic SARBuy and hold
Parabolic SAR: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -16% -33% -49% -66% 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Buy and holdParabolic SAR
Parabolic SAR maximum drawdown -49.1% (2022-08-23 → 2024-02-21), recovered after 1,066 days.

Rules of the top strategy

Trades around the Parabolic SAR dots that accelerate toward price.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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