Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

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Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. Class A backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Shannon Semiconductor Technology Co., Ltd. Class A. 1 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; Parabolic SAR ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester. The return/drawdown alternative is Keltner 채널 돌파 (CAGR 27.9%, MDD -42.5%).

Data 2015-06-10 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 2,706 (11.1 years)Costs 0.5%Venue SZSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

1 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 33.6%, drawdown -81.2%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): Parabolic SAR — CAGR 40.0%, MDD -67.2%, Sharpe 0.99, 50% exposure.

Return/drawdown alternative: Keltner 채널 돌파 — CAGR is 6.4%p higher than buy and hold, while drawdown improves by 14.1%p (CAGR 27.9%, MDD -42.5%, exposure 33%).

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
Parabolic SAR
step=0.015, maxStep=0.16
40.0%-67.2%0.990.6042.4x17850%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=25, atrPeriod=9, mult=1.6
27.9%-42.5%0.820.6615.6x8233%
Supertrend
period=20, mult=2.3
28.1%-45.5%0.800.6215.8x10244%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=20, exitN=8
24.3%-52.8%0.760.4611.3x7431%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=17, threshold=16
23.2%-60.8%0.690.3810.2x11648%
MACD
fast=6, slow=51, signal=9
22.1%-63.0%0.690.359.3x22650%
ROC 모멘텀
n=128, threshold=0.03
20.8%-53.9%0.640.398.2x7852%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=14, slow=173
20.8%-58.1%0.640.368.2x2557%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=48, k=1.1
19.5%-56.7%0.640.347.3x6641%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=57, slow=273
20.3%-62.4%0.630.327.8x1157%
Buy and hold33.6%-81.2%0.790.4125.1x1100%
1x 10x 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Parabolic SARBuy and hold
Parabolic SAR: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -20% -41% -61% -81% 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Buy and holdParabolic SAR
Parabolic SAR maximum drawdown -67.2% (2017-04-17 → 2019-02-21), recovered after 1,485 days.

Rules of the top strategy

Trades around the Parabolic SAR dots that accelerate toward price.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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