Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

equity · CN

Konfoong Materials International Co. Ltd. Class A backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Konfoong Materials International Co. Ltd. Class A. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; Parabolic SAR ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester.

Data 2017-06-15 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 2,216 (9.1 years)Costs 0.5%Venue SZSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 45.3%, drawdown -67.6%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): Parabolic SAR — CAGR 27.1%, MDD -80.0%, Sharpe 0.79, 49% exposure.

No strategy retained at least 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR while reducing drawdown by both 20% relatively and 5 percentage points absolutely.

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
Parabolic SAR
step=0.01, maxStep=0.22
27.1%-80.0%0.790.348.9x11649%
Supertrend
period=13, mult=2.4
26.8%-54.6%0.780.498.8x7651%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=8, exitN=23
26.0%-61.6%0.730.428.2x6270%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=27, atrPeriod=21, mult=2.2
20.5%-48.1%0.730.435.5x4225%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=57, slow=162
23.6%-50.0%0.720.476.9x1552%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=9, threshold=28
20.9%-48.2%0.700.435.6x10432%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=70, slow=162
17.9%-56.2%0.610.324.5x952%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=28, k=2.2
12.3%-46.4%0.520.272.9x4826%
ROC 모멘텀
n=36, threshold=-0.02
9.4%-68.9%0.430.142.3x16658%
MACD
fast=18, slow=51, signal=16
4.4%-71.8%0.310.061.5x10450%
Buy and hold45.3%-67.6%0.960.6730.3x1100%
1x 10x 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Parabolic SARBuy and hold
Parabolic SAR: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -20% -40% -60% -80% 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Buy and holdParabolic SAR
Parabolic SAR maximum drawdown -80.0% (2018-04-18 → 2024-02-20), recovered after 2,991 days.

Rules of the top strategy

Trades around the Parabolic SAR dots that accelerate toward price.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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