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Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

equity · IN

Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences Limited backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Krishna Institute of Medical Sciences Limited. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; Donchian 채널 돌파 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester.

Data 2021-06-28 ~ 2026-08-31daily bars 1,284 (5.2 years)Costs 0.5%Venue NSEMonthly snapshot 2026-08-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 29.2%, drawdown -26.3%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): Donchian 채널 돌파 — CAGR 23.9%, MDD -30.6%, Sharpe 0.88, 93% exposure.

No strategy retained at least 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR while reducing drawdown by both 20% relatively and 5 percentage points absolutely.

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=1, exitN=37
23.9%-30.6%0.880.783.0x3093%
Supertrend
period=16, mult=3
18.8%-27.3%0.830.692.4x2059%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=49, slow=93
16.3%-23.1%0.790.712.2x1559%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=84, slow=215
17.2%-32.8%0.770.522.3x579%
ROC 모멘텀
n=95, threshold=-0.04
15.2%-27.0%0.680.562.1x4176%
MACD
fast=17, slow=48, signal=15
12.3%-22.9%0.660.541.8x6047%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=49, atrPeriod=22, mult=0.7
12.0%-27.1%0.620.441.8x4457%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=42, k=1.2
11.3%-27.5%0.620.411.7x3649%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=27, threshold=28
4.8%-13.7%0.530.351.3x414%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.025, maxStep=0.16
8.3%-24.7%0.450.341.5x11654%
Buy and hold29.2%-26.3%0.991.113.8x1100%
1x 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Donchian 채널 돌파Buy and hold
Donchian 채널 돌파: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -8% -15% -23% -31% 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Buy and holdDonchian 채널 돌파
Donchian 채널 돌파 maximum drawdown -30.6% (2025-07-24 → 2026-02-02), prior peak not yet recovered.

Rules of the top strategy

A new high means a trend starting; a new low means it’s over (turtle-trading style).

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were carried forward from the latest full optimization and replayed on this monthly dataset. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-optimize the same period and setupMore IN assetsAll asset reports

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