Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

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Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Kotak Mahindra Bank Limited. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; ROC 모멘텀 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester.

Data 2001-07-02 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 6,243 (25.1 years)Costs 0.5%Venue NSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 30.6%, drawdown -84.5%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): ROC 모멘텀 — CAGR 28.7%, MDD -85.3%, Sharpe 0.49, 88% exposure.

No strategy retained at least 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR while reducing drawdown by both 20% relatively and 5 percentage points absolutely.

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
ROC 모멘텀
n=82, threshold=-0.11
28.7%-85.3%0.490.34558.4x13388%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=8, exitN=44
26.0%-81.7%0.470.32329.0x9185%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=8, slow=100
22.9%-80.2%0.450.29175.8x10567%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=36, slow=64
22.2%-84.4%0.450.26154.2x6868%
Supertrend
period=9, mult=2.7
16.4%-82.3%0.410.2044.9x16458%
MACD
fast=19, slow=39, signal=21
12.9%-80.2%0.380.1621.2x28651%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=42, k=1
12.6%-81.8%0.380.1519.6x22850%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=35, threshold=11
12.3%-81.3%0.350.1518.4x19446%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.01, maxStep=0.2
6.4%-82.0%0.340.084.7x33054%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=55, atrPeriod=21, mult=3
5.9%-96.4%0.320.064.2x8435%
Buy and hold30.6%-84.5%0.510.36808.2x1100%
1x 10x 100x 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 ROC 모멘텀Buy and hold
ROC 모멘텀: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -21% -43% -64% -85% 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 Buy and holdROC 모멘텀
ROC 모멘텀 maximum drawdown -85.3% (2004-04-26 → 2004-09-10), recovered after 458 days.

Rules of the top strategy

Rides the trend when recent return (momentum) over a window is above a threshold.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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