Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

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Samvardhana Motherson International Limited backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Samvardhana Motherson International Limited. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; Donchian 채널 돌파 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester.

Data 2002-07-01 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 5,982 (24.1 years)Costs 0.5%Venue NSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 36.7%, drawdown -90.0%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): Donchian 채널 돌파 — CAGR 36.0%, MDD -88.9%, Sharpe 0.44, 87% exposure.

No strategy retained at least 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR while reducing drawdown by both 20% relatively and 5 percentage points absolutely.

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=13, exitN=76
36.0%-88.9%0.440.411649.3x4987%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=59, slow=110
35.0%-88.9%0.420.391380.6x2970%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=32, threshold=37
4.0%-21.5%0.410.192.6x124%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=10, slow=190
32.9%-89.5%0.410.37944.3x4367%
Supertrend
period=21, mult=5
30.0%-89.3%0.400.34558.6x5165%
ROC 모멘텀
n=84, threshold=-0.04
29.3%-90.0%0.400.33489.0x17171%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=126, k=0.9
29.2%-90.7%0.390.32482.1x7160%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=97, atrPeriod=27, mult=1.7
21.3%-90.4%0.340.23103.6x9756%
MACD
fast=22, slow=47, signal=23
17.0%-89.1%0.320.1943.9x22051%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.015, maxStep=0.12
10.8%-92.1%0.290.1211.8x38853%
Buy and hold36.7%-90.0%0.450.411876.1x1100%
1x 10x 100x 1,000x 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 Donchian 채널 돌파Buy and hold
Donchian 채널 돌파: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -22% -45% -67% -90% 2003 2006 2009 2012 2015 2018 2021 2024 Buy and holdDonchian 채널 돌파
Donchian 채널 돌파 maximum drawdown -88.9% (2005-07-28 → 2006-06-15), recovered after 3,121 days.

Rules of the top strategy

A new high means a trend starting; a new low means it’s over (turtle-trading style).

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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