Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

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Oberoi Realty Limited backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Oberoi Realty Limited. 1 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; Donchian 채널 돌파 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester. The return/drawdown alternative is Donchian 채널 돌파 (CAGR 14.7%, MDD -35.5%).

Data 2010-10-20 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 3,894 (15.8 years)Costs 0.5%Venue NSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

1 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 12.5%, drawdown -53.0%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): Donchian 채널 돌파 — CAGR 14.7%, MDD -35.5%, Sharpe 0.59, 79% exposure.

Return/drawdown alternative: Donchian 채널 돌파 — CAGR is 2.2%p higher than buy and hold, while drawdown improves by 17.5%p (CAGR 14.7%, MDD -35.5%, exposure 79%).

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=15, exitN=68
14.7%-35.5%0.590.418.7x2779%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=24, slow=151
9.7%-42.8%0.460.234.3x3161%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=43, slow=105
8.1%-47.8%0.410.173.4x2961%
ROC 모멘텀
n=140, threshold=-0.03
6.8%-51.5%0.370.132.8x12365%
Supertrend
period=28, mult=4
5.6%-50.4%0.340.112.4x4556%
MACD
fast=19, slow=69, signal=53
1.1%-55.3%0.170.021.2x10550%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=47, k=3.5
0.9%-29.6%0.130.031.2x1711%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=34, threshold=22
0.1%-44.4%0.080.001.0x3217%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=31, atrPeriod=24, mult=4
-2.6%-35.7%-0.22-0.070.7x166%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.05, maxStep=0.22
-10.3%-90.2%-0.28-0.110.2x55250%
Buy and hold12.5%-53.0%0.510.246.4x1100%
1x 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Donchian 채널 돌파Buy and hold
Donchian 채널 돌파: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -13% -27% -40% -53% 2011 2013 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Buy and holdDonchian 채널 돌파
Donchian 채널 돌파 maximum drawdown -35.5% (2019-07-04 → 2020-08-03), recovered after 518 days.

Rules of the top strategy

A new high means a trend starting; a new low means it’s over (turtle-trading style).

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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