Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

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DAI-DAN Co., Ltd. backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of DAI-DAN Co., Ltd.. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; SMA 크로스오버 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester.

Data 2001-01-04 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 6,370 (25.6 years)Costs 0.5%Venue TSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 11.3%, drawdown -61.9%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): SMA 크로스오버 — CAGR 8.1%, MDD -52.5%, Sharpe 0.41, 63% exposure.

No strategy retained at least 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR while reducing drawdown by both 20% relatively and 5 percentage points absolutely.

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
SMA 크로스오버
fast=51, slow=180
8.1%-52.5%0.410.167.4x4663%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=43, slow=227
7.2%-69.1%0.380.106.0x3162%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=53, k=3.1
3.9%-44.7%0.360.092.7x3616%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=17, threshold=39
2.1%-21.8%0.340.101.7x163%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=42, exitN=65
3.2%-66.6%0.250.052.2x6466%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=43, atrPeriod=24, mult=3.3
1.6%-73.0%0.180.021.5x10629%
ROC 모멘텀
n=132, threshold=-0.01
0.7%-84.8%0.180.011.2x29064%
Supertrend
period=17, mult=5
-2.3%-89.2%0.05-0.030.5x13855%
MACD
fast=24, slow=50, signal=28
-2.0%-84.4%0.04-0.020.6x22452%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.005, maxStep=0.36
-4.0%-87.9%-0.04-0.050.4x20054%
Buy and hold11.3%-61.9%0.480.1815.4x1100%
1x 10x 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 SMA 크로스오버Buy and hold
SMA 크로스오버: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -15% -31% -46% -62% 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 Buy and holdSMA 크로스오버
SMA 크로스오버 maximum drawdown -52.5% (2005-03-07 → 2011-03-16), recovered after 4,449 days.

Rules of the top strategy

When the short average rises above the long average, it reads that as an uptrend starting.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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