Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

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Skylark Holdings Co., Ltd. backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Skylark Holdings Co., Ltd.. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; ROC 모멘텀 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester.

Data 2014-10-09 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 2,905 (11.8 years)Costs 0.5%Venue TSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 8.9%, drawdown -37.3%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): ROC 모멘텀 — CAGR 6.8%, MDD -44.9%, Sharpe 0.41, 94% exposure.

No strategy retained at least 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR while reducing drawdown by both 20% relatively and 5 percentage points absolutely.

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
ROC 모멘텀
n=36, threshold=-0.12
6.8%-44.9%0.410.152.2x3994%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=24, exitN=96
6.4%-35.7%0.400.182.1x2185%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=44, slow=80
4.1%-37.7%0.320.111.6x3061%
MACD
fast=9, slow=26, signal=15
2.9%-58.9%0.260.051.4x18349%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=20, k=1.3
2.1%-55.8%0.220.041.3x14742%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=13, atrPeriod=11, mult=1.9
1.7%-30.5%0.220.061.2x8120%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=36, slow=223
2.1%-36.4%0.210.061.3x1860%
Supertrend
period=16, mult=1.9
1.4%-66.9%0.170.021.2x15752%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.015, maxStep=0.12
0.6%-56.2%0.130.011.1x18351%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=17, threshold=16
-0.2%-53.3%0.06-0.001.0x13339%
Buy and hold8.9%-37.3%0.470.242.7x1100%
1x 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 ROC 모멘텀Buy and hold
ROC 모멘텀: Solid strategy line versus dashed buy-and-hold line. Log scale.
0% -11% -22% -34% -45% 2015 2017 2019 2021 2023 2025 Buy and holdROC 모멘텀
ROC 모멘텀 maximum drawdown -44.9% (2015-08-04 → 2016-06-24), recovered after 3,011 days.

Rules of the top strategy

Rides the trend when recent return (momentum) over a window is above a threshold.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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