Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어
equity · US
DXP Enterprises, Inc. backtest
10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of DXP Enterprises, Inc.. 2 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; ROC 모멘텀 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester. The return/drawdown alternative is ROC 모멘텀 (CAGR 19.3%, MDD -68.5%).
Results by strategy
2 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 13.6%, drawdown -95.5%).
Sharpe leader (same as main): ROC 모멘텀 — CAGR 19.3%, MDD -68.5%, Sharpe 0.60, 57% exposure.
Return/drawdown alternative: ROC 모멘텀 — CAGR is 5.7%p higher than buy and hold, while drawdown improves by 26.9%p (CAGR 19.3%, MDD -68.5%, exposure 57%).
The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.
| Strategy · parameters | CAGR | MDD | Sharpe | Calmar | Total | Trades | Exposure |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ROC 모멘텀 n=170, threshold=0.03 |
19.3% | -68.5% | 0.60 | 0.28 | 145.7x | 159 | 57% |
| EMA 크로스오버 fast=59, slow=191 |
15.2% | -81.0% | 0.53 | 0.19 | 54.7x | 37 | 59% |
| SMA 크로스오버 fast=45, slow=202 |
13.3% | -83.3% | 0.49 | 0.16 | 34.4x | 39 | 58% |
| Donchian 채널 돌파 entryN=12, exitN=49 |
11.4% | -86.3% | 0.48 | 0.13 | 20.8x | 109 | 82% |
| Parabolic SAR step=0.015, maxStep=0.12 |
8.1% | -96.0% | 0.40 | 0.08 | 9.0x | 424 | 51% |
| MACD fast=22, slow=45, signal=18 |
7.1% | -91.5% | 0.40 | 0.08 | 6.9x | 272 | 52% |
| Supertrend period=15, mult=5 |
-3.4% | -98.6% | 0.24 | -0.03 | 0.4x | 122 | 57% |
| ADX / DI 방향성 period=28, threshold=28 |
1.2% | -49.3% | 0.16 | 0.03 | 1.4x | 48 | 8% |
| 볼린저 밴드 돌파 n=60, k=2.5 |
-3.4% | -95.6% | 0.10 | -0.04 | 0.4x | 88 | 28% |
| Keltner 채널 돌파 emaPeriod=58, atrPeriod=11, mult=3.1 |
-3.7% | -91.5% | 0.08 | -0.04 | 0.3x | 120 | 30% |
| Buy and hold | 13.6% | -95.5% | 0.55 | 0.14 | 36.8x | 1 | 100% |
Rules of the top strategy
Rides the trend when recent return (momentum) over a window is above a threshold.
- Buy — Buy when the last 170-day return is greater than 3%
- Sell — Sell when the 170-day return drops to 3% or below