Trend-Following Backtester · Guide · backtest 한국어

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Divi's Laboratories Limited backtest

10 trend-following strategies were compared on the full daily history of Divi's Laboratories Limited. 0 beat buy-and-hold CAGR; ROC 모멘텀 ranks first by Sharpe, matching the main backtester.

Data 2003-03-12 ~ 2026-07-31daily bars 5,801 (23.4 years)Costs 0.5%Venue NSEMonthly snapshot 2026-07-31

Results by strategy

0 of 10 beat buy and hold (CAGR 33.8%, drawdown -59.5%).

Sharpe leader (same as main): ROC 모멘텀 — CAGR 30.2%, MDD -56.2%, Sharpe 0.98, 93% exposure.

CAGR reference leader: Donchian 채널 돌파 — CAGR 30.8%, MDD -60.3%, exposure 94%.

No strategy retained at least 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR while reducing drawdown by both 20% relatively and 5 percentage points absolutely.

The alternative must retain 75% of buy-and-hold CAGR, improve drawdown by at least 20% and 5 percentage points, and stay below 95% exposure; the ranking weights return retention 60% and drawdown improvement 40%.

Strategy · parametersCAGRMDDSharpeCalmarTotalTradesExposure
ROC 모멘텀
n=7, threshold=-0.07
30.2%-56.2%0.980.54477.3x25393%
Donchian 채널 돌파
entryN=8, exitN=103
30.8%-60.3%0.970.51529.2x3794%
Supertrend
period=13, mult=4.5
23.1%-48.5%0.940.48129.7x6356%
Keltner 채널 돌파
emaPeriod=42, atrPeriod=29, mult=1.8
20.0%-30.0%0.910.6771.0x11744%
MACD
fast=40, slow=76, signal=19
21.5%-38.6%0.910.5695.5x13553%
Parabolic SAR
step=0.005, maxStep=0.02
22.6%-50.4%0.900.45118.1x12361%
볼린저 밴드 돌파
n=33, k=0.9
20.6%-36.7%0.870.5679.3x23554%
EMA 크로스오버
fast=10, slow=36
21.6%-47.4%0.870.4697.1x16163%
SMA 크로스오버
fast=15, slow=174
20.7%-54.2%0.830.3881.3x5767%
ADX / DI 방향성
period=27, threshold=14
14.4%-52.4%0.710.2723.3x20740%
Buy and hold33.8%-59.5%1.000.57909.7x1100%
1x 10x 100x 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 Donchian 채널 돌파ROC 모멘텀Buy and hold
ROC 모멘텀 (Sharpe leader), Donchian 채널 돌파 (CAGR reference), Buy and hold.
0% -15% -30% -45% -60% 2004 2007 2010 2013 2016 2019 2022 2025 Buy and holdDonchian 채널 돌파ROC 모멘텀
ROC 모멘텀 maximum drawdown -56.2% (2008-01-02 → 2008-10-24), recovered after 1,595 days.

Rules of the top strategy

Rides the trend when recent return (momentum) over a window is above a threshold.

Method and caveats

Past performance does not guarantee future returns. Parameters were selected on the same full-history sample using sharpe over 40 trials per strategy, so results contain in-sample bias. 0.5% trading costs are included; taxes, slippage and rejected orders are not.
Re-run the same setupAll asset reports

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